Elicitability and Identifiability of Systemic Risk Measures

Aktivität: VortragWissenschaftlicher Vortrag (Science-to-Science)

Beschreibung

Estimating different risk measures, such as Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall, for reporting as well as testing purposes is a common task in various financial institutions. The question of evaluating and comparing these estimates is closely related to two concepts already well known in the literature: elicitability and identifiability. We introduce these concepts for systemic risk measures defined by Feinstein, Rudloff and Weber (2016). A banking system with n participants is represented by a random vector Y and the quantity of interest is its aggregated outcome, using some nondecreasing aggregation function Λ. The measure of systemic riskis defined as the set of n-dimensional capital allocation vectors k such that the aggregated outcome Λ(Y+k) is acceptable under a given scalar risk measure ρ. We establish the link between the elicitability and/or identifiability of the systemic risk measure and the underlying scalar risk measure, taking two perspectives on the measures of systemic risk that stem from their set-valued nature. Moreover, we study secondary quality criteria of the scoring and identification functions of these measures.
Zeitraum10 Juli 201912 Juli 2019
Ereignistitel23rd International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
VeranstaltungstypKeine Angaben
BekanntheitsgradInternational