Future ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic trends, human capital, and health status

Wolfgang Lutz, Samir K.C., Hafiz T.A. Khan, Sergei Scherbov, George W. Leeson

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/KonferenzbandBeitrag in Sammelwerk


This paper will discuss the likely changes in the composition of the population by age,
sex, level of education, and health status for the whole region of Southeast Asia over the
coming decades, and will show specific projections for Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia,
and Thailand. The future population trends will depend on future trends in fertility,
mortality, and migration. We start by presenting population projections that explicitly
consider the uncertainty in all three factors. Next, we present projections that add
educational attainment as a further dimension, thus providing an outlook for human
capital by age and sex. Finally, we match these projections with recently collected data
from the Future of Retirement, a global ageing survey carried out by the Oxford
Institute of Ageing in collaboration with HSBC on health and disability indicators by
age, sex, and level of education for the four countries concerned. Together, these
different pieces of analysis will give us important background information about the
challenges and opportunities facing these countries in terms of the financing of ageing
Titel des SammelwerksOlder Persons in Southeast Asia. An Emerging Asset
Herausgeber*innen E.N. Arifin and A. Ananta
VerlagISEAS Publishing (Institute of Southeast Asian Studies)
Seiten47 - 67
ISBN (Print)978-981-230-943-3
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 Juni 2009