Trend inflation meets macro-finance: the puzzling behavior of price dispersion

Lorant Kaszab, Ales Marsal, Katrin Rabitsch

Publikation: Working/Discussion PaperWU Working Paper

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Abstract

Motivated by recent empirical findings that emphasize low-frequency movements in inflation as a key determinant of term structure, we introduce trend inflation into the workhorse macro-finance model. We show that this compromises the earlier model success and delivers implausible business cycle and bond price dynamics. We document that this result applies more generally to non-linearly solved models with Calvo pricing and trend inflation and is driven by the behavior of price dispersion, which is i) counterfactually high and ii) highly inaccurately approximated. We highlight the channels behind the undesired performance under trend inflation and propose several remedies.
OriginalspracheEnglisch
ErscheinungsortVienna
HerausgeberWU Vienna University of Economics and Business
Seitenumfang47
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 Okt. 2020

Publikationsreihe

ReiheDepartment of Economics Working Paper Series
Nummer304

WU Working Paper Reihe

  • Department of Economics Working Paper Series

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