Is there an Equity Duration Premium?

Activity: Talk or presentationScience to science

Description

Equity duration is a measure of discount-rate sensitivity that is driven by both,
stock-specific cash-flow timing and stock-specific discount-rate levels. Established measures of equity duration using market-price information derive their predictive power for returns from using market-implied discount rates. We introduce new measures of pure cash-flow timing which disentangle discount-rate level from cash-flow timing information. Our results indicate an unconditionally flat relationship between timing and average returns. However, it turns out that in recessions (expansion episodes), there is a negative (positive) relation between cash-flow timing and average stock returns.
Period11 May 2022
Held atUniversity of Vienna, Austria

Keywords

  • Equity duration, cash flow timing, term structure of equity, cross-section of expected returns