Urban change in post-socialist Bratislava - the implications of market forces

  • Maier, G. (Contributor)
  • Slavomir Ondos (Contributor)

Activity: Talk or presentationScience to science

Description

This paper studies the dynamics of urban morphology in Bratislava during the post-socialist period between 1991 and 2006 and makes some projections into the near future. Our motivation is to find out whether
the market forces that were at work during this period and were facing relatively weak urban planning instruments have led to a substantial change in the structure of the city. We will use a set of quantitative methods to answer this question that is most of the time analyzed only qualitatively. We will use various fractal measures to characterize the development during the study period. Moreover, we will use the available information to estimate a logistic regression model explaining why parcels of the city are utilized or not. This model provides a basis for geo-simulation, generating expected future urban patterns. These structures will again be analyzed by
the above mentioned methods in order to evaluate the expected future of the city. A short overview will be
given first to the most important research directions in relevant literature. The logistic regression technique will be used to test a series of development factors assumed to be significant. Their composition will be studied in multiple spatial resolutions: the small-scale citywide area and the selected representative large-scale peripheral area. The results will allow us to discuss our findings and compare them with the existing knowledge on the nature of this unique development situation. Based on this information we can speculate about the sustainability
of the urban form of Bratislava and whether the market forces have had an important impact in this respect.
Period25 Aug 200929 Aug 2009
Event title49th European Congress of the Regional Science Association International
Event typeUnkonwn
Degree of RecognitionInternational