Are more heads more motivated than one? The role of communication in group belief updating

Nina Xue, Lata Gangadharan, Philip J. Grossman

Publication: Working/Discussion PaperWU Working Paper

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Abstract

Many decisions are made by groups operating under uncertainty, with beliefs playing a critical role. However, little is known about how groups, often driven by self-serving motivations, aggregate these beliefs. In an experiment, we examine how groups form and update beliefs following communication. Belief updating in groups is more asymmetric (and pessimistic) but this asymmetry is not driven by self-serving motivations. Based on text analyses, risk is a prominent topic in discussions and we observe a self-serving bias in more risk-averse groups. Group decision making is a necessary but not sufficient condition for biased beliefs – group composition also matters.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherWU Vienna University of Economics and Business
Number of pages34
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2025

Publication series

SeriesDepartment of Economics Working Paper Series
Number375

WU Working Paper Series

  • Department of Economics Working Paper Series

Keywords

  • belief updating
  • group decision making
  • self-serving bias
  • communication
  • experiment

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