Demographic Metabolism: A Predictive Theory of Socioeconomic Change

Wolfgang Lutz

doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x

Demographic Metabolism: A Predictive Theory of Socioeconomic Change

Wolfgang Lutz

Institute for Statistics and Mathematics

Publication: Chapter in book/Conference proceeding › Chapter in edited volume

Abstract

This essay introduces a general theory of how societies change as a consequence of the changing composition of their members with respect to certain relevant and measurable characteristics. These characteristics can either change over the life course of individuals or from one generation to the next. While the former changes can be analytically identified and described by certain age- and duration-specific transition schedules, the latter changes resulting from cohort replacement can be modeled and projected using standard models of population dynamics.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Population and Development Review
Editors	McNicoll, Bongaarts, Churchill
Place of Publication	New York
Publisher	Population Council
Pages	283 - 301
ISBN (Print)	0878341285
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x
Publication status	Published - 1 Jun 2013

Access to Document

10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.xLicence: Unspecified

Cite this

@inbook{3c82cc7fda6b42389903dc3dd9d7dbce,

title = "Demographic Metabolism: A Predictive Theory of Socioeconomic Change",

abstract = "This essay introduces a general theory of how societies change as a consequence of the changing composition of their members with respect to certain relevant and measurable characteristics. These characteristics can either change over the life course of individuals or from one generation to the next. While the former changes can be analytically identified and described by certain age- and duration-specific transition schedules, the latter changes resulting from cohort replacement can be modeled and projected using standard models of population dynamics.",

author = "Wolfgang Lutz",

year = "2013",

month = jun,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x",

language = "English",

isbn = "0878341285",

pages = "283 -- 301",

editor = "\{McNicoll, Bongaarts, Churchill\}",

booktitle = "Population and Development Review",

publisher = "Population Council",

address = "United States",

}

TY - CHAP

T1 - Demographic Metabolism: A Predictive Theory of Socioeconomic Change

AU - Lutz, Wolfgang

PY - 2013/6/1

Y1 - 2013/6/1

N2 - This essay introduces a general theory of how societies change as a consequence of the changing composition of their members with respect to certain relevant and measurable characteristics. These characteristics can either change over the life course of individuals or from one generation to the next. While the former changes can be analytically identified and described by certain age- and duration-specific transition schedules, the latter changes resulting from cohort replacement can be modeled and projected using standard models of population dynamics.

AB - This essay introduces a general theory of how societies change as a consequence of the changing composition of their members with respect to certain relevant and measurable characteristics. These characteristics can either change over the life course of individuals or from one generation to the next. While the former changes can be analytically identified and described by certain age- and duration-specific transition schedules, the latter changes resulting from cohort replacement can be modeled and projected using standard models of population dynamics.

U2 - 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x

DO - 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00564.x

M3 - Chapter in edited volume

SN - 0878341285

SP - 283

EP - 301

BT - Population and Development Review

A2 - McNicoll, Bongaarts, Churchill, null

PB - Population Council

CY - New York

ER -