Economic Security and Fertility: Evidence from the Mincome Experiment

Tuna Dökmeci, Carla Rainer, Alyssa Schneebaum

Publication: Working/Discussion PaperWU Working Paper

255 Downloads (Pure)


Using experimental data, this paper analyzes the relationship between households' economic security and their fertility decisions for low-income households. Between 1974 and 1977, a randomized controlled trial was conducted in Manitoba, Canada in which the treatment groups received differing levels of guaranteed annual income. All of the program participants were low-income households. We find positive effects of the program on the probability of child birth that range between 7 to 10 percentage points.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherWU Vienna University of Economics and Business
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2023

Publication series

SeriesDepartment of Economics Working Paper Series

WU Working Paper Series

  • Department of Economics Working Paper Series


  • fertility
  • economic security
  • policy analysis
  • guaranteed annual income
  • negative income tax

Cite this